Spring Fling

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Middlebury Union Middle School - middlebury, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
2 MACIK Axel 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 41% 6%
3 MCENTEE Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
3 COLLIER Samara 100% 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
5 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
6 FERLAND Brent 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5% -
7 PEDEN Emily 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
8 GLAZER Adam 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 2% -
9 BAKERROUSE Toby 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
10 PERNIA Samantha 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
11 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
12 KROHN Daphne 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
13 MOSES Jeremy 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 32% 9% 1%
14 TABOR Joshua 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
15 BAKER-ROUSE Cady 100% 91% 60% 21% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.