Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAGE Sebastian - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
2 NARDINI Nathanael P. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
3 ALAVE Kyle - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
3 MCDONALD Finn - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
5 MEHAN Nicholas - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
6 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 4% 20% 36% 29% 11% 1%
7 ZHENG LEON - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
8 POSY Daniel - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
9 PORTER Dupree - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
10 DREYER William 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
11 CLARK Aram - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
12 SADHU Neiyam - 2% 9% 23% 33% 25% 7%
12 CIEMINS Henry - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
14 KOGAN Nikita - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
15 LI Cooper - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
16 ZHANG Ray 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
17 RYAN Kai - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
18 CUSUMANO Neal - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
19 PRIEUR Christian F. - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
20 DESAUTELS Connor 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
21 ATWOOD Griffin - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
22 GRIECI Noah - 3% 12% 26% 33% 21% 5%
23 DAI Zihou - 2% 11% 30% 37% 19% 2%
24 JI Johnson - - 3% 15% 40% 33% 8%
25 LIGH Checed 3% 14% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1%
26 HO Nathaniel 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
27 EKONG-REID Severian 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
28 LAMTAN Christoffer - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 3%
29 FIROOZI Sam 1% 16% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
30 ZHANG Simon 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
31 WOLMART Zander 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
32 COPP Max 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
33 CAI Jeff - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
34 FELDMAN Drew - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
35 WONG Caleb W. - 2% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
36 BARENBOYM Michael 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
37 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
38 KIM Andrew - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
39 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 1% 15% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
40 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
41 LOO Jason - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
42 GREENE Kevin 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
43 VILEMAITIS Tadas 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
44 HO Jacob - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
45 ORTHMANN Tristin - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 2%
46 LAZARTE Gabriel 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
47 BANSAL Krishiv 2% 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% -
48 VISH Manyu 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
49 SHEYNZON Benjamin 7% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
50 KIARA Kinoti - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
51 CHIEN Nolan 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
52 HE Bowen 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
53 EASLEY Dallas - 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
54 WEI William 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
55 LORENZ Evan 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
56 DE SIENA Salvatore 1% 5% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
57 ZHANG Richard 28% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
58 LEUNG Arthur 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
59 CHANG Leo 2% 15% 34% 31% 15% 3% -
59 MARKARYAN Eric 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
61 AMAGOWNI Dhruv 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
62 RAJMOHAN Arya 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
63 MARTINEZ Luke 64% 30% 5% - - - -
64 WANG Theodore 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
65 HOUSER Johnathan 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
66 HAUSLER Jayden 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
67 HELD Lev 8% 31% 38% 19% 3% - -
68 FARLEY Kevin 1% 12% 34% 36% 14% 2% -
69 WITHAM Leo 69% 26% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.