Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Shuang 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
2 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 WYNN Kylie 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
3 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
5 LI Han (Helina) 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
6 YU Jane 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 5%
7 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
8 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
9 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
10 SAKALLA Serene 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
11 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
13 LI savannah 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
14 CHEN Sophie 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
15 KIM Claire 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
16 MUHAMMAD Auset 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
17 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 2%
18 ZAMLYNNY Maya 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 21% 3%
19 SHICK Veronika 100% 99% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
20 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
21 SHERLOCK Gabriella 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
22 URDANETA LARGURA Sylvia 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% -
23 MEYER Claudia 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
24 SNYDERS Evelyn 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
25 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
26 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
27 TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
28 LIU Yinuo 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
29 LEE Allison 100% 95% 62% 23% 4% - -
30 FELLMAN Sara 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
31 JIANG Doris 100% 33% 4% - - - -
32 PAWLAK Paulina 100% 66% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.