Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ABDULMANOV Ayrat - - - 1% 8% 34% 56%
2 WONG Reagan 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 4% < 1%
3 STAMIS Kyle - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
3 ORTHMANN Tristin - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
5 RIGGINS Littleton K. - - 1% 14% 53% 32%
6 LI Cooper - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
7 LAZARTE Gabriel 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
8 WONG Caleb W. - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 3%
9 LOO Jason - - 5% 24% 45% 25%
10 CIEMINS Henry - 4% 21% 41% 28% 6%
11 CHENG Brandon - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
12 RYAN Kai - - 1% 8% 45% 46%
13 LIGH Checed 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
14 KOLODNER Michael B. - 2% 16% 43% 38% 1%
15 DE SIENA Salvatore - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
16 ZHANG Richard 7% 29% 41% 21% 3% -
17 CUSUMANO Neal - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
18 DREYER William - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
19 BANSAL Krishiv - 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
20 WANG Theodore 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
21 HELD Lev 8% 32% 40% 18% 2% -
22 CHIEN Nolan 11% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
23 MARTINEZ Luke 33% 44% 20% 4% - -
24 SAYAR Luke 1% 8% 28% 41% 20% 3%
24 MARTINSON Torm 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
26 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
27 JIANG Terence 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
28 SCHLESINGER Nathan - - < 1% 7% 37% 56%
29 WOLMART Zander 7% 38% 37% 14% 2% - -
30 LEVY Jack 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
31 DUNN John (Jack) F. - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
32 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
33 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
34 ARORA Pranav 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
35 KOENIGSBERG Jared - 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
36 FARLEY Kevin 6% 28% 41% 21% 3% -
37 YANG Byron 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% -
38 TANG Jeremy 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1%
39 JIN Adam 14% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
40 MITCHELL Eric A. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
40 EASLEY Dallas 15% 41% 34% 9% 1% -
42 NOVOJILOV Daniel 30% 44% 22% 4% - -
43 HOUSER Johnathan 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
44 WITHAM Leo 64% 31% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.