Northern Virginia Knights RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Michael and Son Sportsplex at Dulles - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
2 PACK Lindsey 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
3 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
3 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
5 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
6 LIU Mason 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 6%
7 HUA Isaac 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
8 PARK Joshua 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 4%
9 SALEH yassin 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
10 TARCHICHI Daniel 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
11 LU Ethan 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
12 HUDSON Jedidiah 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
13 HAN Jayden 100% 96% 68% 29% 6% 1%
14 XU Jonathan 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
15 MACK Julian 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
16 GRIFFIN Andrew 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
17 BOSNJAK Parker 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
18 CREANGA Matthew 100% 42% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.