Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div II Women's Foil

Friday, May 9, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TUCKER ALARCON Frida - - 4% 33% 64%
2 NICUDEMUS Bryella - 5% 34% 45% 14% 1%
3 HOROWITZ Shuli - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
3 COLE Sofia 2% 15% 35% 35% 13%
5 SELSER Ella - 2% 24% 56% 18%
6 KUTATELADZE Anna 4% 20% 38% 30% 9%
7 PEVZNER Sophia 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%
8 FERRONE Gianna 1% 17% 55% 25% 2%
9 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) - 6% 31% 41% 19% 2%
10 HABBOUB Rahaf - 2% 13% 36% 38% 11%
11 LENZ Phoebe 36% 47% 15% 2% - -
12 WU Lorena 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%
13 JOSEPH Rachel 34% 53% 13% 1% -
14 LUEKEN Adelina 46% 46% 8% - -
15 CROWE Talia 18% 39% 31% 11% 1%
16 MARRELLI Carolina 30% 48% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.