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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Y-12 Women's Saber

Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARAPool Heatmap

Friday, May 9, 2025 at 9:00 AM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
14 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
2 KO Ariel 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 13%
3 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
3 HU Emily 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
5 TOPALOV Julia 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
6 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
7 RADELL Zoe 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
8 MCCABE Ashley 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
9 ZHANG Manyao 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
10 LI Gloria 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
11 ARANGO Ivanna 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
12 CAO Amanda 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
13 SUN claire 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
14 RAZIANO Collins 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -