Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div I-A Men's Saber

Friday, May 9, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GUALTERO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 19%
2 AL-NASSER Mahmoud 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
3 BEATY Chad A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 42%
3 KO Zuriel 100% 96% 69% 23% 3% -
5 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 99% 91% 56% 13% 1%
6 FILATOV Aleksandr 100% 100% 99% 85% 39% 5%
7 ARIAS Cesar A 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 32%
8 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
9 KLEBS Robert 100% 100% 88% 50% 11%
10 FORT David 100% 100% 100% 96% 62% 14%
11 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 100% 98% 80% 36%
12 CHENG Brandon 100% 99% 77% 33% 5%
13 BENSON Jacob 100% 99% 75% 31% 5%
14 TOSCANO Sebastian 100% 77% 30% 4% - -
15 SZULIM Rad 100% 97% 76% 32% 5% -
16 REHM Liam 100% 85% 37% 7% - -
17 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 96% 71% 24% 3%
18 KALLIO Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
19 LANE Jonah 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
20 SIMMONS Evan 100% 13% 1% - -
21 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 89% 49% 9% 1% -
22 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 68% 21% 2% - -
23 PODDAR Shameek 100% 86% 34% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.