Collegiate Cup RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
2 KIM Saeren 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
3 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 PARK Chloe 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1%
5 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
6 OCA Merci 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
7 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
8 HAN Emma 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
9 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
10 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
11 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
12 CHEN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
13 HSIEH Lucia 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
14 KIM Satie 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
15 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
16 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
17 LONG Chloe 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
18 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
19 CHANG Annette 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
20 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 10%
21 HWANG Charlotte 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
22 KIRBY Skye 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
23 YU Skylar 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
24 SHEARER Alena 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
25 DUFF Caitlin 100% 92% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
26 NING Lynn 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
27 DING Jolie 100% 88% 46% 12% 1% -
28 LIU Hannah 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
29 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
30 LIN Annika 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
31 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
32 BORTAI Eliza 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
33 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
34 MISHEV Lila 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 1%
35 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
36 YU Stella 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
37 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
38 CAI Veronica 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
39 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
40 LEE Madeleine 100% 65% 18% 2% - -
41 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
42 CHENG Anna 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
43 LIN Ariel 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
44 JUNG Sienna 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
45 VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
46 KANG Soeun 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
47 BI Mia 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
48 KURTH Maya 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
49 ROSS Lucy 100% 83% 36% 8% 1% - -
50 LIM Eunice 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
51 ERPELDING Emily 100% 71% 23% 3% - -
52 HENRY Erin 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
53 ANDERSON Kathryn 100% 42% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.