Event Results
2025 Duel in Des Moines (3-weapon)Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MCMILLIAN Harrison | V V V V V | V V V | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 2 | KENNEDY Michael | V D V | V V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 3 | BERG stephanie A. | D V V | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 3 | JOHNSTONE Mathew | V V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 5 | GOLLNICK Brian | V V V D D | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 6 | ORGERON Jeremy | V D V V D | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 7 | BIANCO anna L. | D V D V V | D | 0.9 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 8 | LEACH Nathan | D D D D V | V D | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| 9 | NORTON Oliver | D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 10 | MARCHETTI Mackenzie Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 11 | BUDAHN Henry | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |