2025 Duel in Des Moines (3-weapon)

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 12:00 PM

The MidAmerican Energy Company RecPlex - West Des Moines, IA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 COLEMAN Ian 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
2 TENHUNDFELD Jack 100% 100% 59% 16% 1%
3 BUCEVICIUS Alexander A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
3 TAKATA Benjamin 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
5 TIMMONS Sarah J. 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
6 ORGERON Jeremy 100% 100% 93% 61% 11%
7 PAULSEN Zachary 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
8 RAYMOND Rocco 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
9 MARTIN Malakai 100% 45% 8% 1% -
10 JOHNSTONE Mathew 100% 94% 66% 25% 4%
10 SNYDER Kyle 100% 86% 46% 12% 1%
12 DAVIDSON Michael 100% 99% 87% 54% 15%
13 GLASNAPP Mark 100% 94% 60% 11% 1%
14 CONRAD Jack 100% 96% 75% 33% 4%
15 MARSHALL Benjamin 100% 98% 82% 36% 6%
16 THOMAS Andrew 100% 88% 52% 16% 2%
17 BUDAHN Henry 100% 98% 84% 44% 8%
18 NAVARRO Gabriel 100% 87% 51% 17% 2%
19 BENGTSON Jasmine 100% 53% 13% 1% -
20 JACOB Colton 100% 96% 52% 12% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.