Spring Fling 2025

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Augusta Fencers Club - Augusta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MCINTYRE Kendric J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
2 LAUSI Patrick M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
3 SINGH Arnav 100% 99% 90% 54% 9% -
3 ARZT Nicholas 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
5 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
6 HERIN Jordan W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 37%
7 CARRIE Konnor 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 2%
8 SHEHORN Connor 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
9 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 100% 100% 92% 54% 12%
10 BONNER Cohen 100% 100% 96% 70% 28% 4%
11 VILLANI Henry M. 100% 97% 69% 21% 2% -
12 KNOX Aidan 100% 97% 71% 20% 2% -
13 MEILAN William 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
14 FORD Tillman 100% 79% 35% 6% - -
15 WATTS Jacob 100% 97% 73% 28% 4% -
16 SHANNON Sarabeth 100% 68% 23% 4% - -
17 MINOR David E. 100% 34% 4% - - -
18 VARNER Kathryn 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.