Pirate Cup #4 (SAS In-House Saber)

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
2 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
3 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
3 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
5 PIISPANEN Eric A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 45%
6 RICH Augustus (Gus) G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
7 WANG Tina 100% 100% 99% 91% 50% 4%
8 MA Yanjie 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2%
9 YANG Caroline 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
10 LEE River L 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 26% 3%
11 MOODY Paul J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 46% -
12 BECK Mica 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
13 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 4%
14 LOPER Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
15 DAVISSON Zack 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2% -
16 HOLMES Xavier 100% 100% 94% 53% 15% 2% -
17 ENGLE Aidric 100% 100% 100% 93% 50% 1%
18 ASHTIANI Shaya 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
19 ARMSTRONG Doug 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4% -
20 SAKPAL Raghavi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 10%
21 KING Robin E. 100% 100% 99% 84% 31% 4%
22 DEVASIA Nisha 100% 100% 94% 69% 24% 1%
23 VALENTINE Rhys 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5% -
24 NELSON Henry 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% - -
25 CHIU Philippa 100% 90% 53% 13% 1% -
26 MCCLURE Logan 100% 98% 80% 35% 3% -
27 CHAUDHURI Urvashi 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
28 HE Manni 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% - -
29 XIA Daniel 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
30 ALLEN Oliver 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
31 WONG Alice 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
32 SUNIDJA Indira 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% - -
33 REITER Michael L. 100% 98% 81% 37% 5% -
34 WHELAN Quinn 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
35 DEGEN Anita L. 100% 99% 86% 30% 4% -
36 JOHNSON Jack 100% 34% 5% - - -
37 GUEA Mark 100% 24% 2% - - -
38 WONG Lucia 100% 87% 44% 8% - -
39 BEELER Parker 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1% -
40 HARFORD Benjamin 100% 86% 45% 12% 2% - -
41 HERMAN Sabrina 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
42 LOWREY Zola 100% 98% 57% 14% 1% -
43 BRENNAN Annabelle 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
44 RILLON Adrian 100% 99% 83% 46% 14% 2%
45 KASHYAP Arunima 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
46 TING Alexander 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.