Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Felix 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 4%
2 BEATY Chad A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 CHENG Brandon 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
3 GUALTERO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
5 TIAGI George 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
6 LYON Drew 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
7 YADAV Lakshya 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
8 FENG Brendan 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
9 SHIM Tristan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
10 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 13% 1%
11 KLEBS Robert 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
12 SUN Ziyao 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
13 BENSON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
13 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
15 COPP Max 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
16 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
17 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 1%
18 KO Zuriel 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 2%
19 REHM Liam 100% 96% 75% 37% 8% -
20 SZULIM Rad 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
21 VEDRE Neil 100% 100% 98% 85% 57% 23% 4%
22 TOSCANO Sebastian 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
23 KANE Kiran 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
24 SAYAR Luke 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
24 JIN Adam 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
26 SIMMONS Evan 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
27 SU Ji 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
28 HENRY Cadel 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
29 XU Ivan 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% -
30 PIPKE Garrett 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
31 ALLEN Asa 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
32 PODDAR Shameek 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
33 SIMS Martin L. 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.