Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
2 HUANG Neila 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 6%
3 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
3 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
5 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
6 HEATH Isabella 100% 100% 99% 93% 61% 12%
7 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
8 WILFRET Katerina 100% 78% 32% 6% -
9 KO Ariel 100% 96% 75% 35% 7% -
10 LOZIER Camryn 100% 74% 29% 4% - -
11 FANG Darcy 100% 64% 19% 2% -
12 FANG Elena 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
13 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 100% 94% 67% 21% 2%
14 YADAV Tishya 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 3%
15 VATS Ishita 100% 99% 89% 54% 13%
16 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
17 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
18 TOPALOV Julia 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
19 TISSONE Veronica 100% 98% 80% 37% 6%
20 GUO Daisy 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
21 CHAN Isla 100% 90% 55% 16% 2% -
22 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 78% 33% 6% - -
23 CULLOM Brooke 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.