Spring Fling 2025

Unrated Mixed Foil

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Augusta Fencers Club - Augusta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 VILLANI Henry M. 100% 100% 99% 87% 30%
2 SHULER Alden 100% 86% 40% 8% -
3 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
3 MOBBLEY Michael 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
5 SMITH Katherine E. 100% 100% 94% 62% 11%
6 ZHGUN Sebastian 100% 95% 69% 27% 4%
7 ALLEN Charles 100% 98% 81% 39% 4%
8 FALAHATI Alexander 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
9 MILLER Ella-Kate 100% 96% 72% 30% 5%
10 CARDINAL Elise 100% 98% 77% 32% 5%
11 LODGE Dagny 100% 82% 42% 11% 1%
12 MCFADDEN Chloe 100% 86% 43% 10% 1%
13 MILLER Vance 100% 95% 71% 33% 7%
14 DELORME Benjamin 100% 67% 22% 3% -
15 RODRIGUEZ Michael 100% 53% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.