NEUSFA D and Under

Div III Women's Foil

Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Worcester Fencing Club - Worcester, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SULLIVAN Red 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
2 PANNONE Elisa 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 5%
3 ZINITI-LAU Elena 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
3 SHANG Arianna 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
5 MANGLANI Maya 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 7%
6 POWLEDGE Cora 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
7 IREZ Lyra 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
8 POLING Katherine 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
9 GOODMAN Carden 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
10 TOROPOVA Arina 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
11 HARROLD Sophia 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 15%
12 CHRISTENSEN Nora 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3%
13 VAN DE VELDE Cecile 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
14 SHAW Guinevere L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
15 DEEKEN Anna 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
16 AGUIAR Aja 100% 99% 86% 56% 21% 3%
17 LOPES Julia 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
18 BURNHAM Clarice 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
19 WOUNDY Melissa A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
20 PANTHA Priya 100% 91% 47% 12% 1% -
21 PRASAD Mohisha 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
22 JOSEPH Emilyn 100% 28% 2% - - -
22 MCAULEY Grace 100% 50% 12% 2% - -
24 PERSECHINO Mia 100% 98% 79% 37% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.