2025 TCFC May Challenges

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FECHTMEYER Theodore 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
2 FEEHAN Conor 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
3 MARTIN Wesley 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
3 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
5 CLIPPARD Erik 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
6 ZINSER Jamie 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
7 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
8 LINEBERRY Caden 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
9 HOPKINS Dylan 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
10 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
11 LEGGETT Emilia 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 6% -
12 CHRISTENSEN Jack 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
13 POLYZOIS Alkis 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
14 TELCI Arya 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
15 NEPAL Noukou Asha 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
16 YATES Graeme 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
17 NARANJO David E. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
18 MOHAMED Ahmed 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1%
19 DAVIS Jace W. 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
20 CHANEY Dhru 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.