RCFC Thursday Night D & Under Foil #3

Div III Mixed Foil

Thursday, May 22, 2025 at 7:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SU Preston 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
2 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
3 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
3 NUCKLES Caden 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
5 ZHANG Raphael 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
6 SU Desmond 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
7 COSGROVE Jameson 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
8 HAN Mia 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
9 COWLER Harrison 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 2%
10 HEATH Chad 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
11 CHANG Joseph 100% 98% 83% 44% 12% 1%
12 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 8%
13 SONG Roy 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
14 LU Chang 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
15 ISLAM Asif 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
16 LEE Michael 100% 99% 85% 43% 11% 1% -
17 BACON Maxwell 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1%
18 BEASLEY Julien 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
19 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
20 WU Elynna 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
21 NICHOLSON John 100% 74% 28% 5% - -
22 ASADI Lucille 100% 28% 3% - - - -
23 DUGAN Nathan 100% 93% 45% 10% 1% - -
24 SHOKRI Nick 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
25 HUYBREGTS Christopher 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
26 ZHENG Rick 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.