Event Results
AAFA: Grand OpenSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | THOMAS Jr. Robert D. | V D V D V V V V | V V V | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| 2 | MCRAE Steve | V D D D D V D D | V V V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 3 | KARNAVAS William | D V V V D D V V | V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 3 | SEXTON Matthew | V D V D D V D D | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 5 | CICCHINI Francis | V V V V V V V D | D | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| 6 | VERGARA Jayson | V D V D V D V V | D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 7 | HARRIS Matthew T. | D D V D V V V V | D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 8 | SZOPINSKI Jonathan | D V D D V D D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 9 | CAGE Steven | D D V D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |