NEFC Spring Challenge

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 24, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Nashville Elite Fencing Club - Nashville, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
2 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
3 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
3 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 97% 73% 25%
5 ZIMMERMAN Karmen 100% 92% 63% 24% 4%
6 GOEDICKE Elway 100% 100% 100% 92% 60% 21% 3%
7 KEMLE brian 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
8 MARISI Gianna 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
9 JONES Gideon 100% 88% 50% 12% -
10 GREER Jasmine 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
11 BARBER Annalise 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% 1%
12 PUFFENBERGER Daniel 100% 95% 64% 24% 5% -
13 LEPESQUEUR Hiago 100% 99% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
14 AGUILAR Zaid 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
15 TEITENBERG Elise 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
16 QUEENER, IV Henry 100% 93% 61% 19% 1%
17 GOCHBERG Madeline 100% 77% 28% 4% - - -
18 SINDBERG Ali 100% 56% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.