Ataba Fencing Club May Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 31, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
2 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 23%
3 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 CURTY Jack 100% 100% 100% 92% 56% 14%
5 MCDOWELL Will 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 12%
6 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
7 SINAI Nathan G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
8 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
9 SCHERG Caleb 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 5% -
10 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
11 SWANSON Dave 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 3%
12 BROCK Joshua 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% -
13 RITTERBUSCH Abigail 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
14 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 3%
15 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
16 BARTOSZUK Camilla 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
17 ST. GEORGE David J. 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
18 CARTY Brenden 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
19 BURTON David 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
20 KATZMAN Anara 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
21 BERTRAND Reece 100% 93% 61% 19% 2% -
22 SWENSON Alexandra 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% -
23 SWENSON Diego 100% 95% 56% 15% 1% - -
24 KIRSCHNER Corey 100% 87% 50% 14% 2% - -
25 AMICH Steve J. 100% 96% 71% 29% 4% - -
26 TIERNEY Luke 100% 68% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.