2025 Bay State Games

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, May 31, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
2 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 POWLEDGE Cora 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
3 YIN Chloe 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
5 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
6 CHUNG Stella 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
7 BO Iris 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
8 PUOPOLO Mia 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
9 LI Christina 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
10 TOROPOVA Arina 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
11 LOPES Julia 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
12 HARROLD Sophia 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
13 SHANG Arianna 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1%
14 VAN DE VELDE Cecile 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
15 RADVANY Simone 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
16 ZINITI-LAU Elena 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
17 LAO Sophia 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
18 ZHOU Sophia 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.