Happy Cow

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 31, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GOHSMAN Maxwell 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
2 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 100% 99% 91% 55% 14%
3 BOSS Evan 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
5 ARNEMANN Jonas 100% 100% 99% 80% 24%
6 NORCONK Claire R. 100% 100% 81% 34% 2%
7 BECKER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
8 GREEN Zachary J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
9 DEPAUW Adeline 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
10 STREETER Oliver 100% 100% 92% 61% 20% 2%
11 PIENTA Chris J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 62%
12 HOLDORF LE GOFF Bianca 100% 87% 50% 15% 2%
13 OCHS Bradley C. 100% 100% 98% 80% 35%
14 REDEMANN Shawn 100% 100% 99% 87% 47% 10%
15 JERDEE Colton 100% 99% 78% 8% -
16 CALAY Robert J. 100% 99% 83% 36% 3%
17 HARRIS Parker 100% 97% 59% 15% 1%
18 SKELTON John 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
19 OXIE Matthew 100% 82% 34% 5% -
20 EDWARDS Jeffrey E. 100% 46% 7% - -
21 CASS-CALAY Shannon 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
22 BLAIR Kyle 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
23 METZ Evan 100% 90% 52% 11% 1%
24 ALSTROM Lillian 100% 22% 1% - -
25 KRAMER Sydney 100% 73% 28% 4% - -
25 JACOBS Matthew 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
27 PEREZ Breanna 100% 78% 20% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.