2025 Bay State Games

Senior Women's Épée

Sunday, June 1, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 AZMEH nour 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 24%
2 GAAFAR Rodaina 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
3 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 97% 77% 36% 6%
5 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
6 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 49%
7 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 96% 43%
8 LI Alice 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 1%
9 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
10 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 99% 87% 49% 12% 1%
11 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 6%
12 ERSHOVA Anastasia 100% 97% 77% 36% 6%
13 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 96% 70% 25% 4% -
14 YU Eva 100% 99% 78% 9% -
15 STOCKTON Catherine 100% 49% 11% 1% -
16 BANNERMAN Courtney 100% 95% 67% 26% 4%
17 MASTRONARDI Laura 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% -
18 TIBBETTS Lily 100% 52% 11% 1% - -
18 MA Yanlei 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1%
20 NGUYEN Celena 100% 83% 36% 6% - -
21 CARNEY Jennifer 100% 35% 3% - -
22 LE NOC’H Farrah 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
23 MAES Heather J. 100% 77% 14% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.