2025 TCFC June Challenges

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, June 8, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZINSER James 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
2 PERLENFEIN Tyler 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
3 HENKELMAN Grayson 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
3 MENASCO Juliun 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
5 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
6 KWANT Henry 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
7 SETHRE Traci 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
8 CLIPPARD Erik J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
9 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
10 YATES Graeme 100% 91% 49% 7% - -
11 POLYZOIS Alkis 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
12 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 98% 63% 19% 2% -
13 CHRISTENSEN Jack 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
14 LEGGETT Emilia 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 2% -
15 DAHL Jason 100% 100% 96% 69% 27% 4%
16 GOODEMOTE Eric 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
17 TELCI Arya 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
18 NEPAL Noukou Asha 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
18 GUIDER Lee 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
20 CHANEY Dhru 100% 61% 13% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.