Event Results
Capital Fencing Academy Musketeer Circuit #4Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SLAVNOV Anton | V V V V V V | V V V | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 2 | JOHNSON Leland | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 3 | LIU Jayden | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 3 | MOON Noah | V V V V D D | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 5 | HEIMOV Brennan | D V D V V V | V D | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| 6 | URQUILLA Devin | D V V D D V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 7 | BAHNIK Christian | V V D D V D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 8 | PIÑOL Annika | D D D V V V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 9 | FERRIS Oliver | V V D D D V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 10 | CHEN Tim | D D D V V D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 11 | REIFKE Clive | D V V D D D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 12 | MORIYASU Yuna | D D V D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 13 | FAN Leo | D D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 14 | HILTON Penelope | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |