TFC June Fence-a-thon

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, June 8, 2025 at 8:00 AM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Steve 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
2 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
3 SHENOY Sean 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
3 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
5 LIN Avery 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 18% < 1%
6 KHANAL Sarah 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% < 1%
7 LIU Aiden 100% 99% 86% 46% 9%
8 SHEN Gloria 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
9 CREMEL Remi 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
10 SHENOY Neil 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
11 JIN Jiyuan 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28% 2%
12 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 11%
13 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
14 KAJITA Grayson 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 6%
15 CHUNG Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% -
16 DONG Nancy 100% 99% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
17 JOESUF Thea 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
18 HO Cameron 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
19 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% -
20 GU Evan 100% 98% 76% 34% 7% - -
21 LUO Olivia 100% 99% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
22 MAHAPATRA Alisha 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
23 WANG Ellen 100% 83% 31% 5% -
24 FUNG Caleb 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
25 SOUSA Lauren 100% 58% 14% 2% - - -
26 GOWDA Adisha 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 5% -
27 KUO Esme 100% 77% 29% 5% 1% - -
28 FUNG Lucas 100% 75% 23% 3% - - -
29 HONDA Emi 100% 57% 15% 2% -
30 YAN Aaron 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
31 LEE Clara 100% 57% 14% 1% - - -
32 LUO Derren 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.