ROC - Portland October

Div II Men's Saber

Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 9:30 AM

BEAVERTON, OR - BEAVERTON, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
2 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
3 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 3%
3 XU Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
5 SHASHA Zane 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9%
6 SATHE Tej R. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
7 SAMMI Mukund 100% 100% 95% 69% 27% 4% -
8 LUO George F. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
9 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
10 BARRONG Austin D. 100% 99% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
11 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
12 CABLE Dante 100% 99% 83% 49% 18% 4% -
13 HUANG Zekai 100% 100% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
14 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
15 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
16 ROZGONYI Csaba 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% - -
17 DUNNELL Mahlon M. 100% 98% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
18 LIU Christopher X. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
19 MANSON Mark 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
20 ZHOU Victor 100% 30% 4% - - - -
21 MCNALL Connor 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.