MI Division 2025 Championships

Senior Men's Foil

Saturday, June 14, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Plymouth Ann Arbor Fencing Academy - Troy, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
2 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
3 STRINGER David 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 LEE Ian 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 3%
5 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
6 SOUKAR Michael E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
7 NAZARIO Dominic 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
8 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
9 LU Alex 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
10 ATKINSON JOSIAH 100% 99% 82% 43% 11% 1%
11 BONE Porter 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% -
12 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
13 KIM Ethan 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
14 WU Benjamin (Ben) 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
15 TOWNE Benjamin 100% 94% 57% 18% 2% -
16 WENGER Liam 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
17 TAGORE Reyansh 100% 33% 4% - - -
18 STOUGH Matthew 100% 92% 54% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.