The Pirate Olympics 2025

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, June 14, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Rollins Edwards Community Center - Mt. Pleasant, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ARZT Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 35% 5%
2 MILLER Jonathan 100% 99% 86% 50% 13% 1%
3 THOMPSON Daniel M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
5 BEACH Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
6 VILLANI Henry M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
7 WHITE Taylor 100% 100% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
8 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 23%
9 KRIEGER Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 82% 39% 6%
10 MILES Greyson 100% 98% 77% 35% 7% < 1%
11 DUBE Ian D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
12 RICKMAN Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
13 BOBER Alexander 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
14 SLATTERY Kaden 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 16% 2%
15 DECKER Carlton 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 17% 2%
16 SIGGINS Wally 100% 100% 93% 35% 6% - -
17 NEWMAN Sloan H. 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 7% -
18 STEELE Jeff 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
19 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
20 CATES Georgia 100% 96% 66% 12% 1% - -
21 WAGNER Cosette 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
22 ROSE Alice 100% 97% 69% 28% 5% -
23 BABALOLA Jadesope 100% 83% 11% 1% - - -
24 WRIGHT Nicole 100% 82% 30% 3% - - -
25 BRUNELLI Alessandra 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
26 BAZZLE Jordan 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
27 TYMOFIEIEVA Arina 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.