The Pirate Olympics 2025

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, June 14, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Rollins Edwards Community Center - Mt. Pleasant, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PAVLINEC John (Jack) C. 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
2 BOBER Alexander - - - - 5% 28% 66%
3 NEWMAN Sloan H. - - 2% 10% 31% 41% 17%
3 FREIWALD Liam 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
5 SLATTERY Kaden - - 2% 13% 38% 42% 5%
6 SIGGINS Wally - - 10% 36% 41% 12% -
7 BRUNELLI Alessandra 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
8 CATES Georgia - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% -
9 NELSON Cole 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
10 FREIWALD Owen 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
11 WAGNER Cosette 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
12 BABALOLA Jadesope - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
13 AILSTOCK Charlie 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
14 DAILEY John - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
15 STEELE Jeff - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
16 TYMOFIEIEVA Arina 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
17 THOMAS Codie 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
18 ROSE Alice 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 7% 1%
19 WRIGHT Nicole 12% 44% 35% 9% 1% - -
20 BAZZLE Jordan 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% 1% -
21 STOCKTON J. DeVeaux 7% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.