Event Results
ROC - Portland OctoberSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SHEPANEK Noah M. | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 2 | LUEBBE Macklan C | D V V V | V V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 3 | DILLREE Spencer S. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 3 | WESLER Logan A. | V D D V | V V V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 5 | KAYDALIN Artyom | V V V V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 6 | KWOCK Kaiana P. | V V D V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 7 | SATHE Tej R. | V V V D D | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 8 | LUO George F. | D V D V V | V V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 9 | SHASHA Zane | V D V V V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 10 | HOLMES Aiden G. | D V V D V | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 11 | HUANG Zekai | V V V D D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 12 | XU Andrew | V D V V D | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 13 | KAKEHI Nicholas B. | D V V D V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 14 | BULL Anderson | V V D D D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 15 | LIU Christopher X. | V D D V D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 16 | CABLE Dante | D V D D | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 17 | LEE Sean | D D D V V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 18 | WEI Alex | D D D V V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 19 | STONE Esmond A. | D D V D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 20 | ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) | D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 21 | DUNNELL Mahlon M. | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 21 | SAMMI Mukund | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 23 | YUMINAGA Haruaki | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |