Globus Friday Challenge

Div I-A Mixed Saber

Friday, June 20, 2025 at 10:00 AM

dallas, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
1	LIM William J.	-	-	-	2%	17%	49%	32%
2	GUFFEY christopher	-	-	1%	9%	32%	42%	17%
3	CRAIG Samuel	-	-	4%	16%	35%	33%	12%
3	HONG Rubin	-	-	1%	5%	23%	44%	27%
5	CHON Collin	-	-	4%	20%	41%	29%	6%
6	WITEK bernard J.	-	-	-	1%	15%	48%	36%
7	ZHOU William	-	2%	10%	27%	33%	21%	6%	1%
8	KIM elijah	-	-	-	3%	14%	32%	36%	15%
9	CHOI Silas	-	-	-	-	1%	12%	88%
10	REN James	-	-	-	3%	18%	38%	32%	9%
11	KALPATHY Rohit	-	-	1%	6%	19%	33%	30%	11%
12	HUBLALL ethan	-	1%	6%	19%	32%	28%	12%	2%
13	KIM Alexander M.	-	-	-	5%	23%	44%	28%
14	LI Huangziyue	-	6%	23%	39%	26%	5%	-
15	ZHANG Kaixuan	-	2%	12%	31%	37%	17%	1%
16	BOLLU Viren	-	3%	15%	34%	34%	13%	-
17	GONZALEZ jake	-	-	-	2%	15%	40%	34%	8%
18	LIN nicole	-	1%	6%	18%	31%	29%	13%	2%
19	AN Damon	-	3%	17%	39%	31%	9%	1%
20	DIXON Allan	37%	42%	18%	4%	< 1%	-	-
21	BOSITA brennan	-	2%	12%	31%	37%	18%	1%	-
22	PANG Hi Yui	-	3%	15%	29%	30%	17%	5%	1%
23	KIM yusung	1%	11%	31%	35%	18%	4%	-	-
24	CHEN Kevin	22%	42%	28%	8%	1%	-	-
25	BOSITA Carson	-	-	4%	23%	47%	23%	3%
26	ZHAN sophie	2%	14%	32%	32%	16%	4%	-
27	LEE brady	2%	13%	32%	33%	16%	4%	1%	-
28	KOTVALI Aneesh	6%	26%	40%	24%	4%	-	-
29	SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan	12%	36%	36%	14%	2%	-	-
30	WANG Alex	14%	39%	35%	11%	1%	-	-
31	LIU guanyu	8%	31%	37%	19%	5%	-	-
32	KIM Karen	2%	14%	32%	33%	16%	3%	-
33	VEDRE Neil	1%	7%	24%	37%	25%	7%	-
34	DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick	2%	15%	35%	32%	13%	2%	-
35	SUH Leo	2%	40%	40%	15%	3%	-	-	-
36	TURIANO nadelle	4%	17%	31%	29%	14%	4%	-	-
37	WITEK Isabelle	41%	40%	16%	3%	-	-	-
38	ROH jaden	24%	44%	26%	5%	-	-	-
39	NAMBIAR navin	6%	26%	40%	24%	4%	-	-
40	SALMAN hamzah	1%	9%	29%	39%	20%	3%	-
41	SMITH Etienne	30%	46%	20%	4%	-	-	-	-
42	CHEN Shawn	16%	41%	33%	9%	1%	-	-
43	KU Alathea-joy	< 1%	5%	18%	32%	29%	13%	3%	-
44	HAM Elizabeth	21%	41%	27%	9%	2%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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