Utah S Idaho Division Championships

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, June 21, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Valkyrie Fencing Club - Pleasant Grove, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HANSEN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
2 STOREY Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
3 STORKEL Adam 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
3 JAN Timothy 100% 100% 100% 94% 59% 15% -
5 MERRIAM Isaiah G. 100% 100% 97% 76% 31% 4%
6 DELISLE Jonas P. 100% 99% 87% 55% 17% 2%
7 GAN Shelby 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
8 MACK Jason A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
9 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
10 MARTINEZ HANSEN Dayana C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64% 17%
11 SUCHOSKI Annika 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
12 JIA Amy 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 6%
13 LITTLE Alex 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1%
14 LONG OKURA Rebecca 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
15 PULLARA Ashley 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% 1%
16 DAVIDSON James 100% 91% 60% 20% 2% -
17 PARKEY Jack O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
18 WALL Peter M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
19 MAURIN Michael 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
20 CHADWICK Nathan 100% 98% 86% 51% 16% 2%
21 GARDNER William 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 4%
22 JEFFCOAT Timothy 100% 97% 78% 35% 6% - -
23 RYGG Ellis 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2% -
24 MICHAELIS Stephanina 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% -
25 MITCHELL Shelby J. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
26 LIMA Roberto M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 38% -
27 MATHESON Ender 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% -
28 GARRISON Shawn 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
29 NOLLNER Jennifer R. 100% 86% 47% 11% - - -
30 SEAL Julie T. 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% -
31 MINOTT Nicolas D. 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
31 SZTAN Maria 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
33 NETHERY Lauren M. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
34 LEE Micah 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
35 PASSERAUB Philippe 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
36 LEE Patrick 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
37 WARNICK Sydney 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% -
38 HILL Amelia 100% 80% 37% 7% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.