Utah S Idaho Division Championships

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, June 21, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Valkyrie Fencing Club - Pleasant Grove, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SEAL Julie T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
2 JIA Amy 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
3 MANSFIELD Christopher (Chris) J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 11%
3 LAHAUG Ethan R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
6 MAURIN Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
7 GARDNER William 100% 91% 59% 19% 2%
8 WALL Peter M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 38%
9 DELISLE Jonas P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 9%
10 RIGBY Ellie 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% -
11 MACK Jason A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
13 SEAL Cameron I. 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
14 MINOTT Nicolas D. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
15 SEAL Ayda 100% 92% 60% 19% 1%
16 MICHAELIS Stephanina 100% 100% 95% 64% 19%
17 VAN STEIN Thomas 100% 86% 46% 11% 1%
18 JEFFCOAT Timothy 100% 91% 54% 16% 2% -
19 LITTLE Alex 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
20 ALLAN Peter L. 100% 89% 52% 13% 2% -
21 LEE Patrick 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
22 MARTINSON Aleks 100% 98% 78% 38% 8% 1%
23 TSATURYAN Simon 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
24 LIMA Roberto M. 100% 90% 57% 21% 3% -
24 GARDNER Desaree 100% 89% 53% 15% 1% -
26 NORRIS Erin 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
27 NORRIS Graham H. 100% 90% 52% 15% 1%
28 GRAY Ben 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1%
29 RUBIO Ryan 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
30 PARKEY Jack 100% 97% 59% 11% 1%
31 SZTAN Maria 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
32 MERRIAM Isaiah G. 100% 99% 76% 35% 8% 1%
33 SUCHOSKI Annika 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
33 HOLLOWAY Kyle 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
35 SHURTLEFF Luman 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
36 RAEDER William 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% -
37 WARNICK Sydney 100% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
38 LEE Micah 100% 98% 76% 35% 6%
39 PASSERAUB Philippe 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
40 FACKRELL Jacen 100% 99% 84% 45% 10%
41 GRANT Samuel 100% 98% 80% 37% 5% -
42 HILL Amelia 100% 98% 82% 41% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.