MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, June 22, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
2 SINGH Reyaansh 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
3 CREMEL Remi 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 16%
3 CHENG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
5 YU Xintong 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
6 LUO Olivia 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
7 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 100% 93% 67% 26% 4%
8 KHANAL Sarah 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
9 ZHAN Catherine 100% 100% 99% 85% 44% 8%
10 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 29% 3%
11 TAGNE Zoey 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
12 THERIOT Reagan 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
13 STERNAD Pia 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
14 GOWDA Adisha 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
15 GU Evan 100% 95% 61% 17% 1% -
16 LIN Stewart 100% 88% 40% 7% - -
17 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
18 PAN Samantha 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 13%
19 CHEUNG Carabelle 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
20 FAN Vivian 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% -
21 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
22 HSU Liam 100% 45% 8% - - -
22 THOMPSON Scarlett 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 3%
24 JUSON Julianne Lauren 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
25 SIMPSON Lucas 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.