National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, June 29, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 12%
2 PECK Maia A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 8%
3 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
3 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 16%
5 BUSH emma 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
6 NEMETH Katherine 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
7 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
8 BEI Karen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
9 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
10 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
11 MCGLADE Jasmine 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 25%
12 ZHU Serene M. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
13 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 2%
14 FURMAN Maria 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
15 FENG Ge (Catherine) 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
16 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
17 DALEY Keira 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
18 YOU Emily 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
19 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
20 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
21 LEE Claire 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
22 GARINA Ania (Ganusia) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
23 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
24 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
25 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
26 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
27 SHELIN Chelsea 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3% -
28 SMUK Daria A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
29 ILYAS Ayah 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
30 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
31 CHUNG Penelope 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
32 KUKVA Taisiya 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
33 BOURDEAU Emily B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
34 LI Fei 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
35 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
36 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
37 HANSEN Kira 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
38 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
39 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
40 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
41 LI Caroline 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
42 HEPLER Sarah 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
43 WANG Trinity 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
44 MALLAVARPU saanvi 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
44 BURICEA Ada 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
46 SYKES Elynor 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
47 SCHMITT Harper 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
48 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
49 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
50 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
51 LEE Yeriel 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
52 WONG Caitlin 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
53 XIONG Angelica 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
54 BROWN Amanda 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
55 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
56 POLANICHKA Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
57 ZHAO Alina 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
58 CAVNAR Peyton 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
59 GANSER Nicole 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
60 COLELLA Lauren 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% -
61 LIANG Jingjing 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% -
62 CAMPBELL Anahit M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
62 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
64 NORCONK Claire R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
65 DAVIS Jennifer 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
66 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
67 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
67 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
69 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
69 GOLIYAD Lisa 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
71 ENRILE Erica 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
72 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
73 BRAGG Leah 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
74 PATIL Amulya 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 2%
75 XU Serena 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 5%
76 KENT Laurel 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
77 CHUANG Ramona 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
78 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 89% 54% 16% 2% -
79 NORRIS Morgan 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
80 HAUSHEER Kuncen 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
81 LIN Cynthia 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
82 GUAN Isabella 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
83 LAI Amanda 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
84 BISONO Valentina 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
85 WALTER Anna 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
86 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
87 DESAI Ela 100% 58% 19% 3% - - -
88 QIAN Irene 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
89 YU Eva 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
90 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
91 SHU Youshan 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3%
92 FANG Kayla 100% 97% 76% 41% 12% 1%
92 FLITMAN Gabrielle 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
94 CHEN Ava 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
95 BEAVER Hannah 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1%
96 MONTOYA Amy C. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
97 SCHULTZ Michelle M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
98 PILSON Rebecca 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
99 FREEMAN Kit 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
99 MEMON Insha 100% 39% 6% - - - -
101 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
102 DUNSEATH Lauren M. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
102 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
102 MURPHY Katherine 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
105 TOTEMEIER Ann M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
106 KAZMIEROWSKI Chrissa 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
107 HOFMAN Haejung 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
108 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
109 XU Jessica 100% 94% 61% 21% 4% - -
110 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8% -
111 AIRES Julia 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
112 HUANG Selina 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
113 CHEN Alicia 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
114 XU Celina 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
115 BRIDGE Rebekah 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
116 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
117 ASHER Valerie 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
118 FOMINA Polina 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
119 LONADIER Keira 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
120 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
121 LEWIS Rachel 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
122 LANE Leah 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
123 DASILVA Mia 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
124 BROWN Riley 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
125 SCHMID Carola K. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
125 CHENG Wanrong 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
127 YOU Isabel B. 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
128 GAN Shelby 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
129 ZHAN Clare 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
129 NGUYEN Celena 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
131 DONGES Anna 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
132 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
133 DEPAUW Adeline 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
134 SLAVIN-VINIKOV Ana 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
135 PETROFF Eva 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -
136 LEVKOV Maita 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
137 JAMES Ashley 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
138 BARTOSZUK Camilla 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
139 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
139 GANSER Yuliya 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.