National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Women's Saber

Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 37%
2 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
3 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
5 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
6 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
7 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
8 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
9 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
10 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
11 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
12 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
13 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
14 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3%
15 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7%
16 JEON Yuju 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
17 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 30%
18 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
19 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
20 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 47%
20 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
22 ZENG Sarah 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
23 LIU Sydney 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
24 LEOU Korina 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
25 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
26 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
27 LIM Jaslene 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
28 YANG Lea 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
29 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
30 BARROSO Isabela 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
31 LIU kai yin aria 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
32 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
33 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
34 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
35 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
35 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
35 XIAO julie 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 5%
38 FUNG Iris 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
39 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
40 VINOKUR Anita 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
40 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
42 TANG Zhifei 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
43 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 37% 4%
43 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
43 MALEK Zolie 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
46 YU Holly 100% 100% 95% 78% 48% 17% 2%
47 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 93% 68% 27% 4%
48 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
49 CHAVAN Arya 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
50 GOLDIN Nina 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
51 GUVEN Coco 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
52 DHAR Rana 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
53 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
53 HU Anna 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
55 DHAR Layla 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
56 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
57 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
58 KAUL Tara 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
59 LI Sonia 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
60 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
61 MACKAY Katherine 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
62 CONG Anne 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
63 GAY Sasha 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
64 DANG Kelia 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
65 WEI JoyAnn 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
66 SHI Julia 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
67 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
68 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
69 MARYASH Samantha 100% 96% 73% 32% 4% -
70 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
71 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
72 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
73 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
74 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
75 NAIR Supriya 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
76 KINKADE Ellie 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
77 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1% -
78 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 7%
79 FAN Alexandria 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
80 LI Alexis 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% -
81 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 92% 60% 19% 1% -
82 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
83 TSE Angelina 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
84 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
85 AWAD Royce 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
86 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6% -
87 ZHENG Valentina 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
88 PABIAN Emilia 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
89 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
90 CARTER Keely 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
91 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
92 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
92 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
92 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
95 MANN Sophia J. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
96 WANG Elysia 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
97 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 34% 6%
98 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
99 MARTURANO Bridget H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
100 BUSH Bethany 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
101 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
102 MUND Ruth 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
103 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
104 NGUYEN Siena 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
105 SPEARS Mya B 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
106 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
107 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
108 SCOTT Eve 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% -
109 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
110 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
111 DONG Angel 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
112 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
113 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
114 WANG Jiayi 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
115 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
116 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
117 XIE Nora 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
118 ELBAKRY jana 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 9% 1%
119 DAI Olivia 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
120 TAN Adelyn 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
121 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% -
122 LIU Hannah 100% 87% 49% 13% 1% -
123 XIONG Haojiao 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4%
124 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
125 LUKER Sophia 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
126 GUGALA Hanna 100% 97% 74% 34% 7% 1%
127 BERMAN greta 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
128 OCA Merci 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
129 LITTLE Avery 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
130 YAM Danika 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
131 YUCEL Emine I. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
132 HUANG Rachael 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
132 LIU Kelly 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
134 NAYAK Esha 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
135 CHAN Jolene 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
136 HSU Leah 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
137 HU Michelle 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
138 XU Emily T. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
139 CROOKS Riley 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
140 MUELLER Amelia D. 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
141 CHI Claire 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
142 LO Chloe 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
143 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
143 FAVO Isabella 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5% -
145 TONG Laurie 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
146 YUEN Nicole 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
147 HUANG Doris 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
148 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.