GFA Summer Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, July 20, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Guanyi Fencing Academy - Columbia, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
2 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 100% 97% 67% 15%
3 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
5 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 17%
6 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 100% 98% 80% 36% 4%
7 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 98% 66% 20% 2%
8 SHELLY Emery 100% 100% 95% 67% 25% 3%
9 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 5%
10 WEI Sherry 100% 100% 98% 80% 26% 2%
11 ZHU Yiming 100% 96% 67% 24% 3% -
12 SIMS Martin L. 100% 97% 69% 24% 3% -
13 KARASICK Andrew 100% 96% 59% 16% 2% -
14 TRAN Alex 100% 92% 50% 12% 1% -
15 FONS Amandine 100% 31% 1% - - -
16 KELSEY Fabienne 100% 80% 23% 2% - -
17 CHI Evelyn 100% 36% 5% - - -
18 FONS Jennifer 100% 35% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.