Fencing in the Forest

Junior Women's Foil

Friday, July 25, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Drew University - Baldwin Gym - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 CULLEN Alyssa 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
2 VACCARO Lillian 100% 90% 56% 20% 3%
3 FRIO Alyson 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
3 BUCHHOLZ Ella 100% 91% 56% 17% 1%
5 BARACSKAI Lydia 100% 99% 82% 42% 9%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.