Nutmeg State Games

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, July 26, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 ULYSSE Jacob - - - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 27%
2 DAVE Neil 4% 16% 30% 29% 16% 5% 1% < 1% -
3 KROLEWSKI Nathaniel - - 1% 6% 16% 29% 29% 15% 3%
3 CHIN Harper 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2% - -
5 SALERNO A.J. - 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% - -
6 VAN DER HARTEN Lukas 6% 24% 34% 24% 10% 2% - - -
7 SALDO Liam - 1% 7% 20% 31% 26% 12% 3% -
8 LEWIS Lenox < 1% 1% 6% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2% -
9 TENNAKOON Jess - 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.