Nutmeg State Games

E & Under Women's Saber

Saturday, July 26, 2025 at 5:30 PM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 ZHANG Erica 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 83% 54% 18%
2 CRONIN Kayla 100% 100% 96% 82% 55% 26% 8% 1% -
3 BABCOCK Madeline 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 71% 41% 14% 2%
3 MUKHERJEE Moupriya 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 51% 23% 6% 1%
5 BREDBECK Margaret 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 50% 20% 4% -
6 KELLEHER Shannon 100% 95% 74% 42% 16% 4% 1% - -
7 BABCOCK Abigail 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 5% -
8 HOWARD Seren 100% 93% 70% 37% 13% 3% - - -
9 BARDEN Eli 100% 97% 81% 52% 23% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.