International Saber Cup 2025

Junior Mixed Saber

Friday, August 1, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Albany, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
2 LINCOURT Arthur 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
3 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
3 BIALIK Noah 100% 100% 87% 31%
5 STURGEON Cole 100% 100% 99% 85% 47% 10%
6 WANG Wil Yiyu 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
7 SUVOROVA Anna 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
8 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 95% 59% 18% 2%
9 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 99% 87% 43% 8%
10 HALL Noah 100% 99% 89% 46%
11 DONG Angel 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
12 SANGSTER Arden 100% 98% 79% 34% 4%
13 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 97% 60% 18% 2% -
14 MAGITSKY Isaac 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 1%
15 MOTOVA Masha 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
16 CRAIN Bennett 100% 100% 91% 53% 13% 1%
17 NATHANSON Samantha 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
17 KOSMIN Ivan 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
19 NEDOPAKA Kateryna 100% 96% 71% 30% 5%
20 TITOV Zachary 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
21 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 100% 98% 84% 40% 7%
22 ALMEDA Galina 100% 96% 72% 28% 2% -
23 MAGITSKY Leila 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
24 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 75% 28%
25 BERKOWITZ Gavin 100% 100% 98% 79% 35% 4%
26 LEIGH Brayden 100% 85% 25% 2%
27 KOREN David 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% -
28 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 68% 22% 3% -
29 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
30 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
31 QIU Emily 100% 89% 55% 18% 2% -
32 BLOUIN Eva-Kate 100% 98% 71% 28% 5% -
33 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
34 RIVERATAN Darshan 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
35 RESTELLI Enzo 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
36 SOMANI Aarav 100% 95% 51% 2% - -
37 VON HEHN Victoria 100% 33% 3% -
38 THACH Tri 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 2%
39 LOZIER Camryn 100% 77% 31% 4% - -
40 GAYTAN Antonio 100% 49% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.