International Saber Cup 2025

Div I-A Men's Saber

Thursday, August 7, 2025 at 7:00 PM

Albany, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
2 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 95% 59%
3 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 86%
5 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 90% 46% 4% < 1%
6 TIAGI George 100% 100% 94% 62%
7 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 59%
8 SANGSTER Arden 100% 99% 88% 51% 7%
9 STURGEON Cole 100% 100% 96% 65% 6%
10 KOSMIN Ivan 100% 87% 44% 7%
11 NIL Michael 100% 100% 100% 91% 33%
12 SHIPITSIN Alexandr 100% 100% 98% 78% 21%
13 HALL Noah 100% 99% 81% 24% 1%
13 BIALIK Noah 100% 93% 60% 13% 1%
15 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 69% 21% 2% -
15 CRAIN Bennett 100% 94% 65% 20% 1%
17 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 71% 25% 3% -
18 MAGITSKY Isaac 100% 60% 15% 1%
19 ZHENG Lucas 100% 50% 9% - -
20 ZHANG Simon 100% 56% 9% - -
21 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 74% 27% 4% -
22 BROOKS Drake 100% 68% 20% 2% -
23 SINGH Sumair 100% 85% 40% 5%
24 LORENZ Evan 100% 84% 34% 2% -
25 KOREN David 100% 64% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.