NEUSFA Sabre Open and Y14 at Wheaton College

Senior Women's Saber

Sunday, August 10, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Wheaton College - Norton, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
2 MCAFEE Jada 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
3 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
3 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
5 WANG Jiayi 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
6 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
7 GONG Joy 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
8 CHANG Norah 100% 98% 73% 28% 3%
9 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 98% 70% 25% 3%
10 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 97% 76% 32% 5%
11 HUANG Neila 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
12 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
13 CHEN Elaine 100% 99% 86% 45% 8%
14 KIRBY Skye 100% 98% 50% 11% 1% -
15 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
16 FOSS Persephone 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
17 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 100% 83% 38% 8% 1%
18 BAINS Nandini 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
19 BORGUETA Madison 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
20 WILFRET Katerina 100% 21% 2% - -
21 NAYAK Esha 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
22 XIE Nora 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
23 CHOUDHURY Ritisha 100% 8% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.