The Crescent City Open ROC/RJCC (FIRE)

Div III Men's Épée

Friday, August 22, 2025 at 3:30 PM

The Riverside Hilton / Fitness Center - New Orleans, LA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 POHL Philip 100% 91% 60% 21% 3%
2 WAID Ian 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
3 CHIZ Max H. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
3 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% < 1%
5 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
6 VILLAREAL Quentin 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
7 POOLE James M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
8 COATES Gregory 100% 90% 58% 21% 3%
9 WERTH Mario 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 4%
10 CHALMERS Thomas 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
11 BIROAN Chaz 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
12 LEVINE David 100% 87% 46% 12% 2% -
13 GREGORY Dean 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
14 WEILER Barrett 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
15 YAO Sophia 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
16 ANDREWS Christopher 100% 96% 59% 19% 3% -
17 DERY MarkAlain 100% 75% 31% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.