Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Southern Connecticut State University (James Moore Fieldhouse) - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MI Aileen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
2 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 24% 2%
3 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
3 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
5 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
5 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
7 FIELD Julianna 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
8 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60% 9%
9 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
10 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
11 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
12 MEYER Claudia 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
13 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 6%
14 LI Katerina 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
15 LI Eleanor 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
16 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
17 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
18 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
19 WANG Carol 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
20 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
21 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
22 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
23 JIANG Chloe 100% 99% 88% 54% 14% 1% -
24 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 98% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
25 LI Joy 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
26 COLE Sofia 100% 93% 61% 20% 3% - -
27 CHEN Sophie 100% 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
28 WANG Dina C. 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
29 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
30 YUAN Agnes 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
31 CHEN Jephanie Y. 100% 98% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
32 POWLEDGE Cora 100% 88% 49% 13% 1% - -
33 LI Savannah 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
34 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4% -
35 SONG Jenna 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9% 1%
36 BADLANI Diya 100% 92% 60% 20% 2% - -
37 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
38 BASILE Gianna 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
39 LIU Yinuo 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
40 LI Christina 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
41 ZINITI-LAU Elena 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% - -
42 MCGRATH Polina S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
43 BAULIN Zoya 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
44 LAVINE Samantha 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
45 LIN Katherine 100% 99% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
46 SNYDERS Evelyn 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% - -
46 ERSHOVA Anastasia 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
48 YANIV Liya 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
49 KATS Ekaterina 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
50 LOVE Georgina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
51 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
52 ZHOU Sophia 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
53 KIM Claire 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
54 KERR Margaret E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
55 BENADOUDA Ines 100% 95% 50% 12% 1% - -
55 SONG Sarah 100% 6% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.