DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, August 24, 2025 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
2 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
3 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 4%
3 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
5 CHO Alex 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
6 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
7 GANTSOUDES Isaac 100% 99% 84% 46% 12% 1%
8 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 1%
9 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
10 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
11 GALEOTTI Loriano 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
12 DELONG Joshua 100% 95% 61% 21% 3% -
13 LEE Anton 100% 94% 66% 28% 5% -
14 VELLALA Avinash 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
15 YU Jason 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
16 YANG Gary 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
17 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 99% 86% 51% 14% 1%
18 CARTER Austin L. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
19 SWICK Kerry J. 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
20 DELONG Mike 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
21 BECKMAN Amaya 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
22 MORET Eric N. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
23 RUSKIN David I. 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
24 LORENZ Nathan 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
25 KELSEY Fabienne 100% 38% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.