Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
2 WONG David 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
3 SO Preston 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 22%
3 LEE Brian 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
5 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
6 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
7 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
8 TANI Tino 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 8%
9 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 31%
10 WONG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 46% 13%
11 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
12 KANG Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 11%
13 SINGHAL Armaan 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
14 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 100% 99% 91% 71% 38% 10%
15 WANG Tiger 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
16 CHAN Henry 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
17 SU Kingston 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
18 BEKDJANOV Arthur 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
19 CHEN Cooper 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
20 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
21 ZHOU William 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
22 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
23 LI Yidong A. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
24 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 16%
25 LEE Brady 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
25 ROH Jaden 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
27 MARQUEZ Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
28 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
29 VO Landon 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
30 LI linze 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
31 GARDNER David 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
32 WU Yiyang 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
33 CAO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
34 LIU Daniel 100% 89% 52% 16% 3% - -
35 FAN Hsiao-Kai(Kai) 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
36 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
37 CAO Donald 100% 99% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
38 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
39 RONG Jasper 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
39 IYER Neil 100% 97% 82% 53% 22% 6% 1%
41 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
42 CHI Everett 100% 95% 68% 30% 8% 1% -
43 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
44 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
45 LEE Brandon 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
46 LIU Yijin 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
47 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
48 VEDRE Neil 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 7% 1%
49 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
50 LI AYDEN 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
51 CHEN Shawn 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
52 WANG HongXi 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
53 SRIVATSAV Anay 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
54 CHAN Elliott 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
54 LUC Linkin 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 5% -
56 EKAMBARAM Nikhil 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
57 HO Anson 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
58 COBIAN Richard 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
59 HONG Aidan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
60 HENRY Ethan 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
61 BRUM Charles E. 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
62 LIAO Yifong 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
63 CHEN Yuan 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
64 ROSALES Vincent 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% - -
65 WONG Ron 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
66 LE Long 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
67 SUNG Julian 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
68 SEELMAN Cole 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
68 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
70 VOSPER James 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.